Spencer Pratt's Path To Become Mayor Of Los Angeles

Indiziert: 2026-05-22

[00:00:00]Can Spencer Pratt go the distance in Gamora by the Sea? Karen Bass's inability to answer one simple question might turn LA over to a Republican.

[00:00:10]Then, speaking of not being able to answer a simple question, one of the most prominent liberal Catholics in media does not seem to believe in heaven or the resurrection of the dead. We will examine Steven Colbear's woo woo wine mom spiritual gobbledygook. And finally, one of the nation's best known libertarians, Dave Smith, wonders how I would react if my political predictions turned out to be false. And I guess we'll just never know. I'm Michael Nolles. This is the Michael Nolles show.

[00:00:59]Welcome back to the show. A clip is going viral from the bicesentennial of America 1976 spirit of 76. It's going viral because as we are now in the 250th anniversary of America, people are getting a little bit nostalgic. They recognize that the country has transformed radically over the last 50 years. We'll see how how to fix it, how to make the most of this 250th anniversary. Speaking of which, I have to say if I'm looking a little worse for wear today, it's because I just got off a flight. I was in DC last night. I was I went to DC for a dinner. That's why I was in town. I happened to be in town.

[00:01:39]And I'm not going to say too much about this now. I'll maybe post about it a little bit later, but I I got a tip off from someone involved with a group of statues. You know, there's a lot of stuff going up for the semiquincentennial for the 250th anniversary of America. I got a tip off from someone involved in a group of statues in our nation's capital. And just as a crane was lifting the first statue in, and it is it is one of the coolest things I have ever seen. I'm actually a little choked up even thinking about it. Uh, so how's that for vague posting? Um, maybe I'll I'll post something about it later on today. First though, I want to tell you about something that I did not get very much of last night because I was flying all over the place and had an early flight, but something that I get a lot of when I'm here in Nashville, and that is sleep. I want to tell you about Helixleep. Go to helixleep.com/nolles.

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[00:03:49]First off, we turn to LA, my former town.

[00:03:54]Is Spencer Pratt going to become the mayor of LA? Are we going to flip LA Republican?

[00:04:00]By all rights, LA is going to remain Democrat.

[00:04:05]Okay, I want to temper everybody's expectations here. Even though Spencer Pratt is running an incredible, amazing campaign, best Republican campaign I've seen in California ever. I wasn't alive for the Reagan days. So, so the best one ever. Despite all of that, if you look at the prediction markets right now, Karen Bass, the current Democrat mayor of LA, a former card carrying communist, actual communist, is the overwhelming favorite to remain mayor of LA.

[00:04:34]According to the Kouchy Markets, 68% chance Karen Bass remains mayor. 27% chance Spencer Pratt unseats her. He's going up. Karen Bass down. No, she's not even really down a little bit. She's actually kind of up from where she had been. The one who really cratered was this socialist candidate from the city council, Nitia Raman. So look, by all rights, Bass is going to remain mayor and Spencer Pratt's campaign will be valiant but unsuccessful. Now, if you look at the polling, not the prediction markets, but the polling, things look a little bit better. Emerson College pled uh in May, Bass has a 30% support. Pratt has 22% support. Ramen has 19% support. So, it's much much closer in the actual polls than it would be in the prediction markets, which makes sense. Uh, the the issue here is that undecided voters are dropping sharply. So, Pratt is probably not going to pry the purple-lehaired lunatics. Uh, he's not going to pry the illegal aliens and all the people that Karen Bass wants to vote for her. So, you know, he's really relying on those undecided voters. As the undecided voter number gets smaller, his odds are going to go down. But still, it's an eight-point race in California. That's pretty impressive. uh Ramen is helping him here or the socialist splitting the leftwing vote is actually helping uh Spencer Pratt. So you say all right look the the odds that this great Republican candidate actually wins pretty pretty low. However, Karen Bass is doing her level best to get a Republican elected there because she is running a horrible campaign. She knows she's running a horrible campaign. That's why she dropped out of the debate after Spencer Pratt completely dominated at that first debate. Karen Bass said whatever I'm not facing this guy on stage. Nidia Ramen, same thing. Uh Karen Bass does make the mistake of going on CNN doing an interview with my old pal Alex Michlson.

[00:06:20]Alex who is a great objective downthe-middle reporter probably leans a little bit left. So he's he's certainly not a Republican. Uh but he's just he tries to ask fair questions. He asks a very simple question of Karen Bass. The biggest issue in Los Angeles is the homeless problem. LA residents have to worry about getting stabbed by schizophrenic crackheads on the street, even in the nice neighborhoods. This is a big big problem. It's only gotten worse over over the past decades.

[00:06:49]They've tried to fix it over the last year or two. Not a lot of advancement here. So, simple question. Hey, Mayor Bass, why should voters trust you on the biggest issue when you haven't done anything about it in the last year or two?

[00:07:03]You said that your goal was to end street homelessness in LA by 2026. It's now 2026 >> and we haven't ended it.

[00:07:11]>> We have not ended it and we're not close to ending it. How were you so off?

[00:07:15]>> Well, uh, basically when I said that it was at the beginning of my term. I am very committed to achieving that goal. I didn't anticipate some of the bureaucratic barriers that I would experience, but I am prepared to take those on now.

[00:07:32]>> But you promised that it would go away 100%. And it's only gone down about 17.6%. Right.

[00:07:40]>> So why should people trust you that you're going to be able to get to the 100%?

[00:07:43]>> Because let me just tell you, for the first time, we've had a decrease at all.

[00:07:51]>> You should be thankful.

[00:07:53]the now there's a a a 16th reduced chance that you get stabbed by a crackhead on the street. Um where are my thank yous? Uh excuse me.

[00:08:06]Look, I know I promised that I would solve this problem and I haven't and it's only gone down by 17 1.5%. But you know, come on, that's pretty good. He says, no, but hold on. You promised you'd fix it. Like this isn't brain surgery. Why? It shouldn't be that hard to get the vagrant, dangerous criminals off the streets. No, but you don't understand. The reason I couldn't do it is because I was not able to overcome bureaucratic red tape. Okay. So, why do people Why should people think that you're going to do that now? Cuz now I'm prepared to do that. Don't worry. Forget about my record. Forget about my complete failure. Forget about my incompetence at best or just ideological affinity for the criminals at worst.

[00:08:46]Don't worry. Don't look at what I've done. Just listen to my words. I super double doggy promise to do it next time.

[00:08:56]That was not an interview on the Daily Wire. That was not an interview on the Michael Nullles show. That was not an interview on Fox News. That was CNN. And that's a California reporter who was asking that question. And she's got nothing. And the hottiness, the the pride, the hubris to say, "What are you talking about?" The number went down very slightly. Come on, let me off the hook. She then she steps in it again.

[00:09:21]Karen Bass uh was asked also, this is by Politico. Politico is a left-wing outlet. Said, "Hey, Mayor Bass, simple question. Should nonitizens vote? Should foreigners decide American elections?"

[00:09:38]>> Council member Yugosa Martinez, who has endorsed you. Um he wants to explore ways to let nonitizens vote in city elections. I know that there are some cities that already do this, but you know, politics is all about timing.

[00:09:53]With Donald Trump in the White House, is this the right time for Los Angeles to go down this path?

[00:09:59]>> Well, I think we need to explore it.

[00:10:00]Now, I've not seen exactly what he's calling for. Um, I have a little familiarity of what happens in other cities and uh, for example, some cities will allow people to vote in like city council and schoolboard elections because they pay local taxes, but they are not necessarily undocumented.

[00:10:18]They might be here completely legally, but have not finished the citizenship process. So, we'll wait and see.

[00:10:25]>> We'll wait and see. What are you talking about? We'll wait and see. You're the mayor. It's your qu It's a question for you. Do you support foreigners deciding our elections? He goes, well, look, we got to explore that. What is the top issue in people's minds?

[00:10:44]Usually, it's the economy.

[00:10:46]The the there's the national economy, which is a little bit out of the control of state and local leaders, but California has really screwed it up at the state and local level. They have screwed up the economy. They've screwed up affordability as much as it is possible to screw it up. Gas in California is what, seven bucks a gallon?

[00:11:05]It's because of the taxes, because of the terrible regulatory environment. You want to talk about the affordability crisis in California? Karen Bass and Gavin Newsome allowed LA to burn to the ground. Uh that made things a little little more expensive, didn't it? That it's kind of kind of difficult to deal with affordability when you don't have a house. That's why Spencer Pratt has a successful campaign here.

[00:11:27]So the biggest issue she totally screws up. The second biggest issue which sometimes even supplants the economy in voters's minds is mass migration. This influx of foreigners especially not just from the perspective of the labor market or of crime but especially from the perspective of sovereignty of our identity of having some control over our our political destiny. And she says, "Yeah, we're going to have to explore letting foreigners decide elections.

[00:11:54]Why? Because if Americans decided elections, if people with skin in the game financially as a matter of their family, as a matter of their tradition, within their communities, if Americans decided elections, Democrats would not have a chance. The reason that Democrats support mass migration, and they have been explicit about this for decades, the reason they support mass migration is because they want to give themselves an electoral advantage. They know that Americans don't like them that much and so they need to pad the vote with foreigners. And she's just open about this. I'd almost respect her more if she just blatantly lied. That would be be bad. It's wrong to lie, obviously, but hypocrisy is the tribute vice to virtue. if she were talking like a Democrat in the '90s or 2000s, even like Obama was talking about in 2008, said, "Well, listen, we know we we oppose illegal immigration and we need to we need to make sure that Americans control our borders and we this is, you know, this is a country of, by and for the people."

[00:12:57]No, he he was totally lying about that.

[00:12:59]Obviously, he gave an unconstitutional mass amnesty to over 800,000 illegals.

[00:13:02]But but at least he pretended right before he did the unconstitutional mass amnesty, he said it was unconstitutional. At least he acknowledged reality and what voters want. She doesn't even do that. Says, "Yeah, we're going to have to explore that. We're going to see." I think the implication might be we're going to we're going to see how my re-election odds are going. We're going to see what those prediction markets say. Yeah, we might need to seriously explore letting foreigners decide elections because you Americans, for whatever reason, you don't want to elect me. Okay. So, what does this mean for uh Democrats and Republicans nationally? The fundraising numbers are in. And I know Republicans are big doomers because historically we should get completely creamed in the midterms and maybe we will. But the fundraising numbers tell a very very different story. We'll get to that momentarily. First though, I want to tell you about Policy Genius. Go to policygenius.com/nolles.

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[00:15:58]fundraising numbers are in the Republican National Committee right now. Just take a guess. How much cash on hand does the Republican National Committee have?

[00:16:09]You, you know, we always think the Republicans are screwing everything up.

[00:16:12]I said at that TPSA Idaho event that I did with Matt a few weeks ago, I said, "Look guys, I you might be dissatisfied with the Republicans. I think the Republicans are the worst political party in America other than the Democrats.

[00:16:23]But elections involve a choice and you got to pick one or you got to pick the other. That's just how elections work.

[00:16:29]I'll give you a little hint as to how much money they got. The RNC raised $18.6 million in April. $18.6 million.

[00:16:37]It's a pretty good hall for the National Committee. That means that the total cash on hand, according to the FEC, is $123.8 million for the Republicans.

[00:16:47]Now, you say, "Okay, I just I don't have any context. Is that good? Is that bad?

[00:16:51]Is how does that stack up?" Well, let's compare it to the Democrats. The DNC has negative $3 million cash on hand.

[00:16:58]It's a pretty big spread. Now, I don't want to get too excited about it because there's fundraising for the party committees. There's fundraising for super PACs. There's fundraising for specific races. So, in the Senate races, the Democrats are really putting up a big fight against the Republicans. You look at Georgia right now, John Oaf, the Democrat, is 13.8 million fundraising.

[00:17:18]the the Republicans, you got Mike Collins, Derek Douly, Earl Carter, way way less. A million dollars at most, half a million, half a million.

[00:17:26]You look at uh Texas right now, James Terico, $27.1 million raised compared to John Cornin, only $2.7 million. So, Telerico's raised an order of magnitude more than Cornin, who's the incumbent, but Cornin doesn't have Trump's endorsement. Trump just days ago endorsed Ken Paxton, who has even less money than Cornin. Paxton's raised $1.7 million. Now, again, on these two races, Texas and Georgia, Democrats are going to post these numbers to make themselves seem really strong. It's worth pointing out there are multiple Republican candidates in these races. So, the floodgates haven't really opened up yet.

[00:17:56]A lot of donors are going to wait to see how the primary goes, then they're going to dump their money in so they get a better return on their investment for the general.

[00:18:04]You look at Ohio, shared Brown vastly outraising John Husted. Alaska, North Carolina, vastly outraising the Republicans. Now Maine, it's a little bit tighter. Graham Platner, who's this guy, he has a Nazi tattoo on him. He's a complete lunatic.

[00:18:20]It's kind of funny that the Democrats gave a lot of grief to Pete Hegathth, the Defense Secretary of the Secretary of War, because he has a thousand-year Christian symbol, the Jerusalem cross on his chest, as well as we the people written on his arm. They said, "These are Nazi symbols. You're quoting the Declaration of Independence and medieval Christianity." Meanwhile, Graham Platner has an actual Nazi tattoo on. Anyway, he's out raising Susan Collins. Okay, New Hampshire problem, Michigan problem, Iowa, the Republicans outraising the Democrats a little bit. So, look, it's going to be tight. I don't want to make everything seem all hunky dory.

[00:18:52]Republicans are going to have to fight as hard as they possibly can. But from the perspective of the parties right now, the Republicans are looking better.

[00:19:01]When you see the approval ratings for Trump or for this policy or that policy or this event or that, I'm not saying it's all sunshine and roses. The Republicans are in a very tough spot.

[00:19:12]voters are dissatisfied with Republicans. The silver lining to that is rep voters are even more dissatisfied with the Democrats. Democrats are at a a low E. And one way that Republicans can can beat them is to keep just cracking them over their rhetorical heads with wokeism. For those of us who are political junkies who are paying attention day by day, who are very online, especially young voters, you say, "Look, wokeism is dead. Wokeism died two, three years ago. It's no big deal. It's over. We got to move on. Stop beating a dead horse." But that isn't true. One, that isn't true in the minds of normie voters and older voters. And two, it it isn't true in the minds of Democrats. The Democrats have not given up on wokeism. The Democrats have not given up on transing the kids. The Democrats have not given up on open borders. The Democrats have not given up on foreigners deciding our elections.

[00:19:58]There are still, when you really press them, openly in favor of all of those things.

[00:20:04]And those are very, very effective issues for the Republicans. So, you can't you can't give up on that.

[00:20:10]We still Republicans still have some major advantages in this race and that's even being reflected in the money. Okay, now speaking of Dems coming up short.

[00:20:18]This was a pretty scandalous clip.

[00:20:20]Steven Colbear's show is over. He had he had the late night show. He used to have the show on Comedy Central which was pretty funny. It was a leftwing show, but it was pretty funny. Then he got David Letterman's old show on CBS and then his show got cancelled and Colbear whined and cried and blamed Donald Trump, but it wasn't Donald Trump's fault. It was because his show was hemorrhaging money and no one really watches late night anymore. And frankly, that show is David Letterman's show, and it's never been the same since David Letterman left. The late night format is kind of exhausted. But Colbear did not shine in that format. He was he was good playing a character on the Comedy Central show. He was good for what it was. He was not all that good in this format. So, he's out and everyone's being real sappy and real nice to him.

[00:20:57]And one of the one of the plaudits he's gotten over the years is that Steven Colbear is this model of a left-wing Catholic. He says that he takes the Catholic faith seriously. I I don't want to judge his sincerity, but he's really been put out there by the the left-wing elements within the Catholic Church. He's been put out there as this exemplar of liberal Catholicism.

[00:21:20]Okay. Well, let's test that. Here is Colbear chatting with Jim Gaffigan, also Catholic, about their view of what happens when you die. Now, this is not a particularly complicated question. If you've graduated from your first year of catechism, if you have if you've been to mass even one time and recited the creed, you should have this answer pretty well. What's Co Bear's answer?

[00:21:46]>> Here's the question, Stephen.

[00:21:48]>> What is the question?

[00:21:49]>> What do you think happens when we die?

[00:21:52]>> Here's what I Here's what I picture.

[00:21:53]Some of these questions, if I answer them, I have to think of what do I think as I'm waiting for the person to answer them. When I give it to them, what comes to mind? And when I come to mind when I ask this question, I think of uh almost like it's more like a feeling. And the feeling is that when we die, I think there is some continuence of some kind, but it's a um like a dispersion of the self into some other greater being and I don't know I don't have any of the feelings beyond that. What you're saying is we become Frebze.

[00:22:30]>> Yes.

[00:22:31]>> Right.

[00:22:32]>> Okay. Great comeback from Gaffagan here.

[00:22:34]You're saying we become Freze.

[00:22:39]What was that answer? I know there are religions that believe something like that. The non-theistic religions, Hinduism or Janism or Buddhism believe something like that. that when we die, we continue on in a way, but we cease to really be the self. You know, we just kind of disperse and are absorbed into some greater kind of thing and and we lose our individuality and we achieve nirvana or something like that. Yeah, I've heard that before, but I don't hear that in mass. I don't read that in the catechism. Uh in fact when you go to mass you recite the creed and you say all all uh confessional Christians say this. They say I look forward to the resurrection of the dead and the life of the world to come. This is pretty basic stuff. We believe that there when you die there is a particular judgment. You go to heaven or hell. And we believe in the resurrection of the body which uh we see proof of and we see a figure of but it literally happened in the resurrection of Christ. That's what we believe. That's not Nirvana. That's not just dispersing into the greater being.

[00:23:46]That's not That's not becoming Fbreze.

[00:23:48]And what's so weird about this is Colbear used to know this. I remember we'll see if the producers were able to do truly MVP crazy level work here cuz I remember a clip from 20 years ago when I was watching Co Bear show on Comedy Central in which Colbear recited that creed.

[00:24:07]There are a few things I believe. Um, off the top of the my head, I'd say I believe in one God, the Father Almighty, maker of heaven and earth, of all things seen and unseen. In Jesus Christ, the only begotten Son of God, God from God, light from life, true God from true God, begotten, not made, one being with the Father, through whom all things were made. For us men and for our salvation, he came down from heaven by the power of the Holy Spirit, was born of the Virgin Mary, and was made man. For our sake, he was crucified under Pontious Pilot, suffer, died, and was buried. On the third day he rose again fulfillment of the scriptures. He ascended into heaven and is seated at the right hand of the father. He shall come again glory to judge the living and the dead and his kingdom will have no end. I believe in the holy spirit the lord the giver of life of the father and the son of the father and son is worshiped and glorified. He has spoken of the prophets. I believe in one holy catholic and apostolic church. I acknowledge one baptism for the forgiveness of sins. I look for the resurrection of the dead and the life of the world to come.

[00:24:54]>> I know. Wow. Wow. We got to give editor Olivia huge plaud. It's that she dug that up. That clip is basically scrubbed from the internet. It's very very old.

[00:25:03]Copyrights protecting. I don't know how she got that. That was great. It I remember when Co Bear said that 20 years ago. I think it was in 2006. I remember watching it thinking, "Wow, that was impressive." I was an atheist at the time and I thought, "Wow, that was really impressive."

[00:25:16]And he was clear about what he believed all all the other great things he believes. But on the on the point here appropov discussion he said yeah I believe in the resurrection of the dead.

[00:25:27]So what happened?

[00:25:29]What? How do you go from that he says he believes that assuming Colar goes to mass? He says he believes that every week, maybe he goes more than once a week to this woo woo wine mom new agen gnostic nonsense of we all just kind of disperse and we lose our individuality man and we're all part of the hum, you know, and we do our yoga and then we hum and we just dissolve into what is that?

[00:25:58]What is that's a little weird. It's a little weird. It's make me making me even more skeptical of liberal Christianity, left-wing Christianity, which strikes me, having read the syllabus of errors and looking at the history of the church and looking at theology, strikes me as a contradiction in terms. Okay. Now, speaking of difficult questions, uh the libertarian commentator and comedian Dave Smith just wondered on one of his shows was just wondering aloud what my reaction would be if I were wrong in my political predictions specifically about what would happen in that congressional race in Kentucky with Thomas Massie. We'll we'll examine that question. First, I want to tell you about pre-born. Go to pre-born.com/nolleskwas.

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[00:27:58]A clip comes across my feed yesterday.

[00:28:00]People were tagging me in it. This was be from before the Thomas Massie primary campaign before the election on Tuesday in which uh Dave Smith was taking some issue with my political analysis and my predictions. He was sitting with the reactionary commentator Nick Fuentes and Dave said that uh he he was really eager to see what my reaction would be if my prediction turned out to be incorrect.

[00:28:29]Then the betting markets start like change. Clearly people are putting money in and influencing this. So Michael Nolles over at the the Daily Wire who I you know I don't dislike Michael Nolles but uh his take on this was he goes man if Thomas Massie loses this just shows the iron grip that Donald Trump has on the Republican party.

[00:28:47]>> Oh brother.

[00:28:47]>> And you're like dude dude I mean I think it shows the iron grip that the Israel lobby has if there was like that might be a slightly more accurate take. But then I also go um and I'll be interested because I think Thomas Massiey's gonna win. I think it's close, but I think he's gonna pull this off. Um >> I wonder what Michael Null's reaction to that will be.

[00:29:06]>> So if it if it proves that Trump has an iron grip when Massie falls out, what about when Thomas Massie wins and survives $20 million being pumped into his district? What would what would that uh suggest?

[00:29:19]>> I wonder what Michael Nolles what his reaction will be when his prediction proves incorrect. You see Nick Fuentes there. He says, "Oh yes, yeah." Mhm.

[00:29:26]Yeah, that's right. I wonder I wonder what my reaction would have been had I been wrong. I guess we'll never know because my prediction was totally correct. And here Dave says, he goes, you know, look, I think it's going to be close. It wasn't even close. It wasn't close. It was a nine-point swing. So, that was that was the first bit. I found that very delightful. And I appreciate that Dave says, he goes, I look, I don't dislike Michael Nolles. And I feel exactly the same way. Actually, I'm I want to get Dave on one of the bar fight shows cuz he'd be a good figure for the show. I would be the conservative. Dave is a libertarian. Then we get some left-winger. I think that's a pretty good lineup because everybody could kind of disagree but sometimes would agree with each other. So anyway, I I I'm uh grateful for Dave's statement there and I I look forward to uh you know, seeing him on a bar fight show or something.

[00:30:14]But but what about the first part where you say, "Okay, well maybe Michael was totally right in his prediction. Maybe Dave was wrong in his prediction." But Dave and Nick Fuentes both take issue with my analysis. My analysis was part of my prediction I said was if if Massie goes down, this will be evidence that Trump has an ironclad grip on the Republican party. And the two of them, they say, "Oh, brother, here we go." No, it doesn't show. That's not what it will chiefly show. What it's going to show is that the pro-Israel lobby has an ironclad grip on the Republican party.

[00:30:46]That will be the chief takeaway if Massie goes down. But I don't think Massiey's going to go down. Yeah. And no, I don't think he's going to go down.

[00:30:52]No, he'll win. It'll be close. Whatever.

[00:30:54]Okay. So, I want to point out I was also completely correct in my political analysis of the of the broader context here. And let's be totally clear about it. I am not denying in the least that pro-Israel donors wanted to take Massie out. I'm not denying that at all. It's a little complicated because Massiey's biggest individual backer was ardently pro-Israel. That's a slight confounding factor, but it's true. Apac wanted to take Massie out. the pro-Israel donors really wanted to take Massie out, but that was not the chief takeaway. And my proof of this is all of the other races, all of the other primaries that Trump intervened in, you can say the Israel issue was a big factor in the Massie race. How do you explain Brad Raffensburgger in Georgia? Israel didn't play a single role in that election.

[00:31:43]That primary race was about Raffensburgger's reaction to the 2020 presidential election. How do you explain Bill Cassid's Senate primary?

[00:31:51]Bill Cassidy's Senate primary had nothing whatsoever to do with Israel. He just irritated Trump by turning against him, turning against him on the issue of impeachment. How do you explain the five Indiana state legislators who went down in their primary campaigns in all the races that Trump intervened in? That issue wasn't about Israel. That was about redistricting because they turned on Trump on redistricting. My point is not that the pro-Israel donors didn't want to take Massie out. My point is that the chief takeaway of Massie going down alongside Raffensburgger and Cassidy and the Indiana legislature all at the same time is that the only common thread there, it wasn't Israel, it wasn't the 2020 election, it wasn't impeachment, it wasn't redistricting.

[00:32:35]Those were individual issues. The only common thread to them all going down at the same time is that Trump turned on them and told voters not to vote for them. And so if we're trying to find the common thread, the chief cause of their going down, the only conclusion that we can draw is that it was Trump having an ironclad grip on the Republican party despite the predictions and prognostications of podcasters who keep being proven wrong. That's my point.

[00:33:05]I'll go even further in the Massie race.

[00:33:07]There there are a number of Republican congressmen who don't like Israel, who have voted to defund Israel, who are still in their seats. I'm sure Apac would love to take them out, too. The deciding factor is Trump hadn't turned on them.

[00:33:21]That's that's where I get my political observation from. I'd go even further.

[00:33:26]The last point I'll make on Massie is had Massie played nicely with Trump, had Massie voted for the big beautiful bill, had Massie not started ping around with Roana, an anxious Democrat, Trump very likely would not have turned on him. And even if you had the pro-Israel donors trying to take him out, my point is that wouldn't have mattered because the decisive factor was Trump. Now, once again, as I I pointed this out in the Massie race, you can say it's good that Massie opposed the GOP.

[00:33:52]You can say it's good that Massie opposed Trump. You can say you like Massie more than Trump or the Republicans. You can say any of those things. I'm not You can say you want to be a libertarian instead of a conservative. I'm not making any comment on that in this context. All I'm saying is if you if you want to understand what's going on in politics and if you want to be able to be more likely to make accurate political predictions, you have to understand the underlying structures, how party politics actually works. And the fact that you know look you know how much I hate to say I told you so but the fact that my observations and predictions have this habit of uh being proven correct. Now look not all none of us is omnicient but the fact that there is pattern recognition here and they do keep uh playing out in reality that would seem to suggest that that analysis on what's going on in politics is the more accurate one.

[00:34:47]That's and you know I hate to say I told you so but who knows maybe David very nice comments there maybe we can hash it out on a bar fight I hope I hope in the future. Okay, now much much more to get to. Talk about uncertainty. We might be taking Cuba.

[00:35:03]First though, I want to tell you my favorite comment from yesterday's Chuck Hy1211 who said, now I didn't pick this. The producers picked this. We'll see if it's good.

[00:35:12]Chuck Norris once told a woman to calm down and she did.

[00:35:17]That's of all the stupid Chuck Norris jokes. Talk about things from 20 years ago. Of all the great Chuck Norris jokes, that that's a good one. I'd actually never heard that one before.

[00:35:25]Okay, I want to get to Cuba because we might be taking Cuba, but we don't have time. And I do I told you at the top I told you at the very top we would get to the bsentennial. And especially because I had this experience last night. One of the most moving things I got a little choked up about it. Uh relating to the semiquincentennial, the 250th anniversary. I want to get to this clip that's going viral from 1976. Spirit of 76, 200 years of America making people conclude that the past is a distant and foreign country.

[00:36:02]>> This is a Coca-Cola ad from 76. And there's all these people bunting everywhere, wearing Uncle Sam hats, carrying Betsy Ross flag. Spirit of 76 everywhere.

[00:36:16]Got the drummer boys. Remember they actually in 76 they had the drummer boy quarters. Those are great. My Grammy used to collect those. All sorts of people smiling parades. Happy birthday America. Now of course look this is a commercial. It's a commercial for a product, but it reflects one consumer tastes because people there was obviously an appetite for this kind of patriotic stuff in 76. And there were a lot of parades and there there were a lot of festivities and the organizers of the semi-quincentennial are are doing a great job. As I mentioned, there's a lot of amazing stuff going up in Washington DC. A lot of great events. You know, there's the rededicate event that just occurred. Was that last week? Rededicating America to God. And you know there's there's there's good stuff going on, but there seems to be much less of a of an appetite among the people for this kind of patriotism.

[00:37:08]There there's a reason actually why clips from 50 years ago are going viral from the 200th anniversary rather than the 250th anniversary. There's a sense that things have gotten worse over the last 50 years. And I don't think there was really that sense in 1976.

[00:37:26]There were political problems, but people were still, I don't know, still patriotic, still excited about the founding of America and celebrating that. And the country has changed radically. Look, in part, we have the highest foreignb born percentage of the population that we've ever had. So, it's just people who know a lot less about our founding, who who have less of a civics education, who have less of a personal connection to the founding.

[00:37:47]John J writes in in Federalist 2, he thanks God that we all descend from a common stock with a common religion, the and a common experience of of the war of the revolution. And that has frayed over time, not just because of the vicissitudes of the passage of time or something like that, but also because of of policies that have changed the makeup of the country, also because Americans don't really have kids anymore, which is one of the arguments for mass migration.

[00:38:13]also because of changes in the academy and in pop culture that make us hate our country rather than celebrate our country. It's just it's not a good sign of national health when on a big anniversary of the founding of your country you are nostalgic for for the last anniversary. That's a sign that things have gotten worse. And so then it makes you think in the grand scope of history, America is still very very young. We're 250 years old. I was having a cigar with my pal Spencer Claven the other night and he pointed out he said you know we are half the age of the Roman Republic.

[00:38:48]The Roman Republic lasted almost 500 years 486 or so years if memory serves.

[00:38:55]And then you got the Roman Empire.

[00:38:59]Maybe in modernity things go a little bit faster. I don't know. So may maybe we're on the cusp of something. Maybe maybe we are transforming from a republic or into an empire. Those kind of things happen gradually. Maybe we're more aware of that now. Maybe we're more willing to transform. I don't know. I'm not saying America's going to disappear.

[00:39:15]I'm not saying it's going to go anywhere. But we need to uh come to grips with uh our national identity with who we are and we need to do so in a way that gives us a vision for the future. This is in fact at the change from the ro Roman Republic into the Roman Empire. This is the the point of Virgil's Anid. Virgil Zenid which is the great patriotic epic poem which was written for Caesar Augustus which is to draw from and and indeed to craft uh the mythology of Rome that would that would uh push Rome toward further greatness. We need something like that. We c nostalgia is history after a few drinks but we cannot simply look back and we can't sit in the present and be doomers and despair. We we are in desperate national need of a vision of the future that makes us love our country, not hate our country, that makes us hopeful, not despairing. We need we're we're at a we're at a tipping point. We're at we're at this this moment where the the old images, the old uh the old traditions, they're they've lost some of their luster. We have to we have to rejuvenate them. Okay. In the time that I have left because I'm typically running late, we get to my favorite time of the week when I get to hear from you in the mailbag. Our mailbag is sponsored by Pure Talk. Go to puretalk.com/nolles kle to claim unlimited highspeed data for just $34.99. Take it away. Good morning, Michael, fellow traditional Catholic here. I just wanted to say congratulations on baby number four.

[00:40:43]Unfortunately, I do feel the need to reprimand you for something. You talk a lot about how the words we use matter. I agree. So, I'm sorry to say that you've fallen into one of my greatest pet peeves. And since Matt didn't call you out on it during your episode of Off the Clock, I guess I have to. You've said multiple times now that you have three and a half children. No, you don't. You have four. It's like when I go to baby showers and the decorative banner says mama to be.

[00:41:05]>> No, there would be no baby shower without a baby. And if there's a baby, the woman is already a mother. It's the same thing. Having only half a baby is impossible. If we want to win on the abortion issue, why would we use the left's dehumanizing language? That seems pretty self-defeating to me. Your unborn daughter is a baby, a perfect, beautiful baby designed by God in his own image.

[00:41:23]Never speak of her or any potential future children as anything less. Please and thank you. Okay, end of rant. Have a nice day.

[00:41:29]>> Okay, that's a really, really good point. And I'm not going to take your advice. It's a real I'm not denying the precision of your point, but I think your advice slashdemand is uh wrong.

[00:41:44]Here's why. You make a good point. You say something that's really annoying is when you go to a baby shower and it says mother to be. So you're not a mother to be. You're a mother already. There's a baby inside you. And obviously it's a that's a whole baby. So you're already a mother. That's true. It is it is uh dehumanizing.

[00:42:01]It is I think rhetorically dangerous to say it's a a mother to be cuz you're you're a you're already a mother. That's true. But when I say that I have three and a half children, you know, three walking around the earth, one still cooking in there, uh, it's just a joke.

[00:42:16]And it's and it's not as dangerous as saying, you know, mother to be or to refer to a I don't know, a an embryo or a fetus or a zygote or whatever kind of euphemisms the the proabortion crowd tries to use. It's it's a joke because, as you point out, you can't really have half a baby. That's not that's not a real thing. So, it's a joke. It's a little bit of verbal irony. And we are we are allowed to joke. It's actually good to joke. The angels can fly because they can take themselves lightly. A little bit of levity goes a long way.

[00:42:45]And so, it's good to joke about these things. Uh you you don't want people to be confused. You want people to know that, you know, babies are babies. But, uh joking about having half a baby actually, I think, actually kind of does that because we all know that would be an absurdity. There's no such thing as half a baby. And the proabortion crowd doesn't argue that a baby is half a baby. They argue that a baby is a total meaningless clump of cells or that you know at some magical moment the baby fully becomes a baby. So no jokes are okay. Jokes are okay. That nihilopat jokes are okay. It's okay to have some fun. We don't we don't need to frown all the time. We can make our important moral points while still having a little charm to it. It's all right. But your your point is very good but not your advice. Okay. So much more to get to. So much more to get to. We don't have time right now for the hoy on the major platforms. We've got to go to our own private major platform, the Daily Wire for all of the the members.

[00:43:46]We'll get to a lot more. Maybe some more mailbag. It's fake headline Friday. The rest of the show continues now. You do not want to miss it. Become a member.

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